Every number here has a paper behind it.
We don’t invent metrics. Every one is built on published sport science and listed below with a link to the original work. As the engine grows and new research lands, this page keeps up.
Power & critical power
Read the explainer Critical power, the work W′ pays for above it, and why FTP is a useful number that is not the same thing.- Monod & Scherrer (1965) Peer-reviewed The work capacity of a synergic muscular group Ergonomics Critical Power (CP) and W′: the power you can hold, and the battery above it.
- Skiba, Chidnok, Vanhatalo & Jones (2012) Peer-reviewed Modeling the expenditure and reconstitution of work capacity above critical power Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise W′ balance, meaning how much of your anaerobic reserve is left, second by second.
- Poole, Burnley, Vanhatalo, Rossiter & Jones (2016) Peer-reviewed Critical Power: an important fatigue threshold in exercise physiology Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise Why critical power, rather than an arbitrary %FTP, marks the heavy/severe boundary behind the CP/W′ curve.
- Jones, Vanhatalo, Burnley, Morton & Poole (2010) Peer-reviewed Critical power: implications for determination of V̇O2max and exercise tolerance Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise Fitting CP/W′ from maximal efforts and predicting time-to-exhaustion on the power-duration curve.
- Wong, Burnley, Mauger et al. (2023) Peer-reviewed Functional threshold power is not a valid marker of the maximal metabolic steady state Journal of Sports Sciences Why eFTP is shown as a trackable trend, not an exact physiological threshold.
Training load & form
Read the explainer What TSS, CTL, ATL and TSB measure, and how to read the curve without over-reading it.- Allen & Coggan (2010) Reference text Training and Racing with a Power Meter (2nd ed.) VeloPress Normalized Power, Intensity Factor, Variability Index, TSS, and the PMC.
- Banister, Calvert, Savage & Bach (1975) Peer-reviewed A systems model of training for athletic performance Australian Journal of Sports Medicine Fitness-fatigue (impulse-response): CTL, ATL and TSB, the form curve.
- Gabbett (2016) Peer-reviewed The training—injury prevention paradox: should athletes be training smarter and harder? British Journal of Sports Medicine The acute:chronic workload ratio behind the load-spike warning. Chronic fitness protects; rapid spikes injure.
- Murray, Gabbett, Townshend & Sampson (2017) Peer-reviewed Calculating acute:chronic workload ratios using exponentially weighted moving averages provides a more sensitive indicator of injury likelihood than rolling averages British Journal of Sports Medicine The EWMA form of the acute:chronic ratio, where recent days weigh more, so load spikes surface sooner.
- Hulin, Gabbett, Lawson, Caputi & Sampson (2016) Peer-reviewed The acute:chronic workload ratio predicts injury: high chronic workload may decrease injury risk British Journal of Sports Medicine Quantifies why the replan refuses to cram missed load: a high acute:chronic ratio sharply raises injury risk.
- Foster, Florhaug, Franklin et al. (2001) Peer-reviewed A new approach to monitoring exercise training Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research Session-RPE load, a device-free way to feed CTL/ATL/TSB when power or HR is missing.
- Bosquet, Montpetit, Arvisais & Mujika (2007) Peer-reviewed Effects of tapering on performance: a meta-analysis Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise The pre-race taper template. Cut volume by roughly 40-60% over two weeks while holding intensity.
- Mujika & Padilla (2003) Peer-reviewed Scientific bases for precompetition tapering strategies Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise Why form (TSB) peaks when fatigue clears faster than fitness during a taper.
- Rønnestad et al. (2019) Peer-reviewed Block periodization of endurance training – a systematic review and meta-analysis Open Access Journal of Sports Medicine Concentrating intensity into focused blocks rather than smearing it evenly across every week.
Intensity distribution
Read the explainer Polarized, pyramidal and threshold distributions, and where the 80/20 pattern came from. Two people can measure the same week and disagree about it; this covers why.- Seiler (2010) Peer-reviewed What is best practice for training intensity and volume distribution in endurance athletes? Int. Journal of Sports Physiology & Performance Polarized vs. threshold distribution and the "grey-zone" warning.
- Stöggl & Sperlich (2014) Peer-reviewed Polarized training has greater impact on key endurance variables than threshold, high intensity, or high volume training Frontiers in Physiology Evidence the session ladder should lean on mostly-easy plus targeted-hard, not a tempo-heavy diet.
- Rosenblat, Perrotta & Vicenzino (2019) Peer-reviewed Polarized vs. threshold training intensity distribution on endurance sport performance: a systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research Meta-analytic support for capping time-in-Tempo in favour of a polarized split.
Thresholds & physiology
Read the explainer Two thresholds, a dozen names between them, and how far VO2max can realistically be moved. Holding your numbers late in a race is a separate quality again.- Faude, Kindermann & Meyer (2009) Peer-reviewed Lactate threshold concepts: how valid are they? Sports Medicine Why time-in-zone boundaries and eFTP track the second (MLSS-related) threshold.
- Bacon, Carter, Ogle & Joyner (2013) Peer-reviewed VO2max trainability and high intensity interval training in humans: a meta-analysis PLoS ONE Realistic ceilings on VO2max improvement when reading a fitness-trend block.
- Maunder, Seiler, Mildenhall, Kilding & Plews (2021) Peer-reviewed The importance of 'durability' in the physiological profiling of endurance athletes Sports Medicine Durability: reading late-activity decoupling and drift as resistance to fatigue.
- Jones (2024) Peer-reviewed The fourth dimension: physiological resilience as an independent determinant of endurance exercise performance The Journal of Physiology Treating late-stage fade as a fourth axis of the athlete profile, not noise.
Recovery & readiness
Read the explainer One morning HRV reading says less than the trend it sits in. What the number can and cannot tell you, and where sleep and self-report come in.- Coyle & González-Alonso (2001) Peer-reviewed Cardiovascular drift during prolonged exercise: new perspectives Exercise and Sport Sciences Reviews Aerobic decoupling (Pw:HR drift) as a durability and fatigue marker.
- Plews, Laursen, Stanley, Kilding & Buchheit (2013) Peer-reviewed Training adaptation and heart rate variability in elite endurance athletes Sports Medicine HRV trend interpretation behind the wellness readiness signals.
- Buchheit (2014) Peer-reviewed Monitoring training status with HR measures: do all roads lead to Rome? Frontiers in Physiology Resting-HR and HRV monitoring methods used on the wellness page.
- Plews, Laursen, Kilding & Buchheit (2012) Peer-reviewed Heart rate variability in elite triathletes, is variation in variability the key to effective training? A case comparison European Journal of Applied Physiology Why the HRV driver uses a 7-day rolling mean and watches day-to-day variation, not single readings.
- Kiviniemi, Hautala, Kinnunen & Tulppo (2007) Peer-reviewed Endurance training guided individually by daily heart rate variability measurements European Journal of Applied Physiology The original evidence that gating hard days on HRV beats a fixed plan, where 'readiness disposes'.
- Vesterinen et al. (2016) Peer-reviewed Individual endurance training prescription with heart rate variability Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise Why high readiness can green-light intensity, not only veto it.
- Javaloyes, Sarabia, Lamberts & Moya-Ramón (2019) Peer-reviewed Training prescription guided by heart-rate variability in cycling International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance HRV-guided prescription validated in trained cyclists. Better timing rather than more volume.
- Nuuttila, Nikander, Polomoshnov, Laukkanen & Häkkinen (2017) Peer-reviewed Effects of HRV-guided vs. predetermined block training on performance, HRV and serum hormones International Journal of Sports Medicine Justifies tying the readiness veto to a rolling HRV trend so hard blocks defer when recovery is incomplete.
- Mah, Mah, Kezirian & Dement (2011) Peer-reviewed The effects of sleep extension on the athletic performance of collegiate basketball players Sleep Why banked sleep above baseline lifts readiness, not just deficits lowering it.
- Fullagar, Skorski, Duffield, Hammes, Coutts & Meyer (2015) Peer-reviewed Sleep and athletic performance: the effects of sleep loss on exercise performance, and physiological and cognitive responses to exercise Sports Medicine The sleep-debt penalty in the readiness score: sleep loss hits endurance harder than max strength.
- Saw, Main & Gastin (2016) Peer-reviewed Monitoring the athlete training response: subjective self-reported measures trump commonly used objective measures: a systematic review British Journal of Sports Medicine Why the subjective driver carries real weight. Self-report tracks training load more sensitively than objective markers.
- Kellmann, Bertollo, Bosquet et al. (2018) Consensus statement Recovery and performance in sport: consensus statement International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance The recovery-stress balance behind the Rest/Recovery rungs and the deep-negative-TSB guardrail.
Running & gradient
Read the explainer A slope changes what a metre of running costs. What grade-adjusted pace corrects for, and why economy moves your pace independently of VO2max.- Minetti, Moia, Roi, Susta & Ferretti (2002) Peer-reviewed Energy cost of walking and running at extreme uphill and downhill slopes Journal of Applied Physiology Grade-Adjusted Pace (GAP), which compares hilly and flat running fairly.
- Saunders, Pyne, Telford & Hawley (2004) Peer-reviewed Factors affecting running economy in trained distance runners Sports Medicine Why improving GAP/efficiency can advance pace at the same cost, treating economy as a performance signal.
- di Prampero, Capelli, Pagliaro et al. (1993) Peer-reviewed Energetics of best performances in middle-distance running Journal of Applied Physiology The energy-cost basis for critical speed, running power, and grade-adjusted pace.
Fueling & hydration
Read the explainer Consensus ranges for carbohydrate, protein, fluid and caffeine in endurance training. Also where those ranges stop being general and start being about you.- Jeukendrup (2014) Peer-reviewed A step towards personalized sports nutrition: carbohydrate intake during exercise Sports Medicine Duration-tiered in-session carb targets (~30 / 60 / up to 90 g·h⁻¹) for long sessions.
- Thomas, Erdman & Burke (2016) Consensus statement Nutrition and athletic performance (joint position stand: AND, DC & ACSM) Journal of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics Daily carbohydrate and protein targets keyed to training load.
- Impey, Hearris, Hammond et al. (2018) Peer-reviewed Fuel for the work required: a theoretical framework for carbohydrate periodization and the glycogen threshold hypothesis Sports Medicine Train-low on easy days, fuel hard and long sessions fully: periodized fueling.
- Sawka, Burke, Eichner et al. (2007) Consensus statement American College of Sports Medicine position stand: exercise and fluid replacement Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise Sweat-rate-based hydration with a <2% body-mass-loss guardrail for long or hot sessions.
- Ganio, Klau, Casa, Armstrong & Maresh (2009) Peer-reviewed Effect of caffeine on sport-specific endurance performance: a systematic review Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research Pre-race caffeine (roughly 3-6 mg·kg⁻¹) as a modest, variable ergogenic aid for key efforts.
Heat & altitude
Read the explainer A heat block changes more than it feels like it should. Why hot-weather targets need derating, and how much of the altitude story the evidence actually carries.- Périard, Racinais & Sawka (2015) Peer-reviewed Adaptations and mechanisms of human heat acclimation: applications for competitive athletes and sports Scandinavian Journal of Medicine & Science in Sports A one to two week heat-acclimation block, with heat-derating notes for pace and effort targets.
- Levine & Stray-Gundersen (1997) Peer-reviewed 'Living high-training low': effect of moderate-altitude acclimatization with low-altitude training on performance Journal of Applied Physiology Altitude-camp planning and the post-altitude re-acclimatization caveat on readiness and pace.
Female physiology
Read the explainer The cycle-phase research is thinner than most summaries admit. What it does show, and the documented sex differences in performance and fuel use.- McNulty, Elliott-Sale, Dolan et al. (2020) Peer-reviewed The effects of menstrual cycle phase on exercise performance in eumenorrheic women: a systematic review and meta-analysis Sports Medicine Optional cycle-aware readiness: flags the early follicular phase as a small, individual down-day.
- Hunter & Senefeld (2024) Peer-reviewed Sex differences in human performance The Journal of Physiology Sex-aware benchmark ranges and substrate/fueling notes (greater relative fat oxidation) in analysis.
Health & overtraining
Read the explainer Overreaching through to overtraining, as the consensus defines it. It is diagnosed by exclusion, which is why no single marker settles the question.Strength standards
Read the explainer The five lifts and what counts as a qualifying rep. How your bodyweight is handled between published classes, and where the app rounds, clamps or declines to answer.- Kilgore (2023) Consensus statement Weightlifting performance standards (bench press, squat, deadlift, press, power clean) ExRx.net The strength tab's tier for a lift — untrained through elite, by sex, bodyweight and age band. Accumulated competitive-lifting classification data, not a regression, and explicitly not population norms.
- LeSuer, McCormick, Mayhew, Wasserstein & Arnold (1997) Peer-reviewed The accuracy of prediction equations for estimating 1-RM performance in the bench press, squat, and deadlift Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research Epley's 1RM estimate from a submaximal set, and the ~10-rep ceiling past which we stop estimating rather than extrapolate.
Strength for endurance
Read the explainer Heavy, low-rep work makes an endurance athlete more economical without making them heavier. What the injury evidence actually tested, and where the strength tab's tier badge comes from.- Rønnestad & Mujika (2014) Peer-reviewed Optimizing strength training for running and cycling endurance performance: A review Scandinavian Journal of Medicine & Science in Sports Heavy, low-rep strength work alongside endurance training: the review behind the library's strength sessions, reporting improved economy and time-trial performance without the added bulk athletes fear.
- Beattie, Kenny, Lyons & Carson (2014) Peer-reviewed The effect of strength training on performance in endurance athletes Sports Medicine The systematic review of strength training in trained endurance athletes — the evidence that the strength tab is worth a coach's time at all.
- Lauersen, Bertelsen & Andersen (2014) Peer-reviewed The effectiveness of exercise interventions to prevent sports injuries: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials British Journal of Sports Medicine The injury case for lifting: strength-training interventions cut sports injuries to under a third, balance work to a little over half, and stretching to nothing. Read the arms before citing it - the four strength trials were eccentric hamstring, Nordic hamstring, calisthenics and a neuromuscular warm-up, NOT barbell programmes, and the overuse figure pools every exercise type rather than the strength ones. Cohorts are team sport and army recruits; no endurance population.
Wind & aerodynamics
Read the explainer On a bike, the air is the biggest thing you push against. What CdA and yaw angle measure, and how far to trust a drag number fitted from a ride rather than a tunnel.- Martin, Milliken, Cobb, McFadden & Coggan (1998) Peer-reviewed Validation of a mathematical model for road cycling power Journal of Applied Biomechanics How much of your effort went to the air: the power model behind wind-adjusted watts and wind-neutral time.
- Crouch, Burton, LaBry & Blair (2017) Peer-reviewed Riding against the wind: a review of competition cycling aerodynamics Sports Engineering Why drag dominates at speed, and what yaw angle does to it — the basis of the head/cross/tail split.
- Debraux, Grappe, Manolova & Bertucci (2011) Peer-reviewed Aerodynamic drag in cycling: methods of assessment Sports Biomechanics What a field-fitted CdA can and cannot claim against a wind tunnel — the confidence wording on the CdA readout.
- Defraeye, Blocken, Koninckx, Hespel & Carmeliet (2010) Peer-reviewed Aerodynamic study of different cyclist positions: CFD analysis and full-scale wind-tunnel tests Journal of Biomechanics How much position alone moves drag area — why one rider has several CdA values, not one.
The AI is held to the same standard
Those papers aren’t decoration. They gate what the AI is allowed to say, in three steps.
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The engine computes
Deterministic code, not a language model, calculates every metric from the athlete’s data using the cited methods on this page. It’s the only source of numbers in the system.
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The AI narrates those results
The model gets the computed findings and the relevant citations, and explains them in plain language. It’s never asked to estimate, extrapolate, or fill a gap.
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Every claim is checked afterwards
Each number in the write-up is compared against the computed findings. If one figure can’t be matched, the whole write-up is discarded and the engine’s own plain-language read is shown instead. A hallucinating model degrades to accurate text rather than a fabricated number.
That’s the whole mechanism. It can make the science readable, and it can’t add anything that isn’t already in the numbers.
Spot a method we should add?
The library gets curated as the field moves. If there’s research you’d trust your athletes’ training to, we want it in here.
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